Monday, October 27, 2014

Temperatures rising

After the recent news that NOAA considers September was globally the warmest on record, it appears that its been hot in quite a few parts of the world in October, including Australia. It may reach 40 degrees today at Ispwich, and it's been terribly dry for many months in Brisbane.

It almost seems as if el nino weather has started already, at least in Australia.   (Not in other parts of the world, though, where California is still in a severe drought which an el nino might relieve.)   I see that they are now saying a weak el nino may be officially declared with a month or two.

Hey I see my feeling is right - here's the SMH a few days ago:
Australia is already experiencing unusually warm temperatures and rainfall deficiencies typical for an El Nino year. Clear night skies in inland areas are also leading to frost – another symptom, Dr Watkins said.
Adelaide's maximum reached 37.3 degrees on Tuesday, its warmest October day in eight years and the city's fourth day in a row of 30-plus weather.
Melbourne warmed to a top of 28 degrees while Sydney's cool patch will end with a string of warm days reaching into next week.
The real heat, though, will be on show over outback Australia with "very high temperatures" predicted for Friday to Monday, the Bureau of Meteorology said.
If a proper el nino does develop soon, it will be interesting to see what happens to the global average temperature, given where we are now.

3 comments:

Anonymous said...

You're into forecasting long range global weather patterns, steve?

Steve said...

The long term is hotter, it's just a question of when it arrives...

nottrampis said...

yep, it is a matter of whether it is a weak or a strong El Nino.

Indeed given we have only three more months for this year it is going to take something extraordinary for it not to be the hottest year ever!